Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 19/09, 23:30
Prediction: Kailey Evans vs Simone Kay
Team pages: Kailey Evans · Simone Kay
Prediction summary
Winner
Kailey Evans
Simone Kay
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kailey Evans
8-2 (W-L)
Simone Kay
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kailey Evans
2–0
Simone Kay
(2 last)
- 08 Aug2-0 12-1W
- 03 Jan2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kailey Evans 1630 · Simone Kay 1530
| Kailey Evans | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kailey Evans (rating 1630 vs 1530).
- Kailey Evans is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kailey Evans 2–0 Simone Kay (2).
Statistics
| Kailey Evans | Simone Kay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-5.9 | 10.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Kailey Evans 2 – 0 Simone Kay (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kailey Evans 2–0 Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/25 UTR Pro Newport Beach Women | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/01/25 UTR Pro Newport Beach Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kailey Evans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Kiara Zabkova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Renee Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Lidia Encheva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Simone Kay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ingrid C Millan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/09 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Shaya Jovanovic UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Midori Castillo Meza UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kailey Evans vs Simone Kay?
Our model gives 76% to Kailey Evans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.