Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 16/09, 03:30
Prediction: Kailey Evans vs Bella Pitchford
Team pages: Kailey Evans
Prediction summary
Winner
Kailey Evans
Bella Pitchford
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kailey Evans
7-3 (W-L)
Bella Pitchford
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kailey Evans 1606 · Bella Pitchford 1411
| Kailey Evans | Bella Pitchford | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kailey Evans (rating 1606 vs 1411).
- Kailey Evans is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Bella Pitchford makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kailey Evans | Bella Pitchford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (7) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-7.4 | 7.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 52.9% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kailey Evans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Renee Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Lidia Encheva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Laima Vladson W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Bella Pitchford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Kiara Zabkova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Ingrid C Millan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Olivia Allegre UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Lily Pradkin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Lilian Poling UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Lyric Bonilla UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kailey Evans vs Bella Pitchford?
Our model gives 85% to Kailey Evans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.