Tennis · M25 Sintra · 16/09, 11:00
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Guilherme Valdoleiros
Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Guilherme Valdoleiros
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Schoen
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen
6-4 (W-L)
Guilherme Valdoleiros
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1565 · Guilherme Valdoleiros 1448
| Patrick Schoen | Guilherme Valdoleiros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1565 vs 1448).
- Patrick Schoen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Guilherme Valdoleiros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.3 | 6.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Daniel Marincas M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas M25 Porto |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Zach Stephens M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Joao Mendes M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/04 | John Echeverria M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Guilherme Valdoleiros?
Our model gives 81% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.