Tennis · M25 Sintra · 16/09, 11:00
Prediction: Max Basing vs Giorgio Tabacco
Team pages: Max Basing · Giorgio Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Basing
Giorgio Tabacco
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Max Basing
7-3 (W-L)
Giorgio Tabacco
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Basing 1564 · Giorgio Tabacco 1495
| Max Basing | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Basing (rating 1564 vs 1495).
Statistics
| Max Basing | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.6 | 11.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 40% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Atakan Karahan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Giorgio Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Radoslav Shandarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Fano |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Edoardo Betti M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Basing vs Giorgio Tabacco?
Our model gives 73% to Max Basing, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.