Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 15/09, 15:00

Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Filip Pieczonka

Team pages: Tiago Pereira · Filip Pieczonka

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Tiago Pereira Filip Pieczonka
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLLL
Filip Pieczonka 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1523 · Filip Pieczonka 1532
Tiago PereiraFilip Pieczonka
Our model49%51%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Filip Pieczonka makes many double faults (7.1/match).

Statistics

Tiago PereiraFilip Pieczonka
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.41.4-1
Games (G-P)12.6-14.111.5-11.1
Aces43.4
Double faults2.57.1
1st serve %67.4%69.1%
Break %35%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tiago Pereira

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-1 15-16 W
13/09 Imanol Lopez Morillo
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
10/09 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger Seville · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Marco Trungelliti
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
07/09 Pavel Lagutin
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
06/09 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
02/09 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
01/09 Francisco Rocha
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Niccolo Catini
M25 Poznan
0-2 11-14 L
14/08 Tristan McCormick
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
1-2 14-15 L

Filip Pieczonka

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Nikita Mashtakov
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
29/08 Michael Savano
M25 Poznan
1-2 13-15 L
28/08 Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Poznan
2-0 13-7 W
27/08 Oleg Prihodko
M25 Poznan
2-1 13-14 W
25/08 Alan Wazny
M25 Poznan
2-0 12-7 W
04/08 Harold Mayot
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/06 Alexander Donski
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/03 Felix Gill
Challenger Murcia · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
16/03 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Murcia · Clay
2-1 13-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Filip Pieczonka?

Our model gives 53% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.