Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 15/09, 12:00
Prediction: Kilian Feldbausch vs Kai Wehnelt
Team pages: Kilian Feldbausch · Kai Wehnelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Kilian Feldbausch
Kai Wehnelt
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kilian Feldbausch
7-3 (W-L)
Kai Wehnelt
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kilian Feldbausch
1–0
Kai Wehnelt
(1 last)
- 29 Mar2-1 20-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kilian Feldbausch 1489 · Kai Wehnelt 1558
| Kilian Feldbausch | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kai Wehnelt (rating 1489 vs 1558).
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 43% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Kilian Feldbausch 1–0 Kai Wehnelt (1).
Statistics
| Kilian Feldbausch | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.5 | 13.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Kilian Feldbausch 1 – 0 Kai Wehnelt (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kilian Feldbausch 1–0 Kai Wehnelt
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/21 ITF M25 Biel | 2-1 | 20-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kilian Feldbausch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Sandro Kopp ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kai Wehnelt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Noah Karma Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kilian Feldbausch vs Kai Wehnelt?
Our model gives 64% to Kilian Feldbausch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.