Tennis · M15 Monastir · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Benjamin Willwerth
Team pages: Cesar Bouchelaghem · Benjamin Willwerth
Prediction summary
Winner
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Benjamin Willwerth
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem
9-1 (W-L)
Benjamin Willwerth
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1616 · Benjamin Willwerth 1477
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1616 vs 1477).
- Cesar Bouchelaghem is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-6.7 | 11.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 64% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Ammar Elamin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Car M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Benjamin Willwerth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/08 | John Chin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Tristan McCormick M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Reece Falck M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Izyan Ahmad M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Laval |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Benjamin Willwerth?
Our model gives 74% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.