Tennis · W15 Monastir · 16/09, 10:00

Prediction: Warona Mdlulwa vs Lavinia Luciano

Team pages: Warona Mdlulwa · Lavinia Luciano

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Warona Mdlulwa Lavinia Luciano
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Warona Mdlulwa 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Lavinia Luciano 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Warona Mdlulwa 1392 · Lavinia Luciano 1475
Warona MdlulwaLavinia Luciano
Our model38%62%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lavinia Luciano (rating 1392 vs 1475).
  • Lavinia Luciano is in better form: 40% recent wins.
  • Note: Warona Mdlulwa makes many double faults (6.2/match).
  • Note: Lavinia Luciano makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Warona MdlulwaLavinia Luciano
Win %10%40%
Sets (G-P)0.2-1.81-1.4
Games (G-P)5.5-11.69.3-10.1
Aces0.60.7
Double faults6.25.4
1st serve %56.6%55.6%
Break %48.8%57%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Warona Mdlulwa

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Kateryna Diatlova
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/08 Selina Atay
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Anet Angelika Koskel
W15 Logrono
0-2 2-12 L
02/08 Camilla Zanolini
W75 Ourense
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Camilla Zanolini
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 2-12 L
21/07 Kristina Novak
W15 Gran Canaria
0-2 2-12 L
12/07 Katja Wiersholm
W50 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
13/04 Alyssa Reguer
W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/04 Wozuko Mdlulwa
W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/03 Ambar Corbalan Miranda
W35 Junin · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Lavinia Luciano

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Nina Andronicou
W15 Brasov
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Mariia Drobysheva
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
1-2 8-9 L
12/08 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
11/08 Naomi McKenzie
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
31/07 Sara Mikaca
W15 Rogaska Slatina
1-2 12-16 L
30/07 Mariia Drobysheva
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-1 13-10 W
29/07 Kaja Najzer
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-1 16-12 W
14/07 Pia Lovric
W35 Torino
0-2 4-12 L
06/07 Nicole Gadient
W35 Buzau
0-2 4-12 L
26/06 Anastasia Safta
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Warona Mdlulwa vs Lavinia Luciano?

Our model gives 76% to Lavinia Luciano, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.