Tennis · Challenger Biella · 15/09, 10:00

Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos Taberner

Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Carlos Taberner

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Gerard Campana Lee Carlos Taberner
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLWW
Carlos Taberner 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLLL
Head-to-head
Gerard Campana Lee 1–0 Carlos Taberner (1 last)
  • 13 May2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1570 · Carlos Taberner 1466
Gerard Campana LeeCarlos Taberner
Our model65%35%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1570 vs 1466).
  • Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Gerard Campana Lee 1–0 Carlos Taberner (1).
  • Note: Carlos Taberner makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Gerard Campana LeeCarlos Taberner
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.90.8-1.8
Games (G-P)12.2-9.910.7-13.1
Aces22
Double faults1.25
1st serve %68.9%65.1%
Break %52.1%37.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

H2H · Gerard Campana Lee 10 Carlos Taberner (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gerard Campana Lee 10 Carlos Taberner

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DateSetsGamesRes.
13/05/24
Challenger Tunis
2-013-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gerard Campana Lee

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Gabriele Bosio
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Seville · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/09 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
06/09 Lorenzo Carboni
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Filip Pieczonka
M25 Poznan
0-2 7-13 L
27/08 Valentin Basel
M25 Poznan
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Jiri Cizek
M25 Poznan
2-1 15-9 W
18/08 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
17/08 Theo Papamalamis
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-1 18-14 W

Carlos Taberner

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Henrique Rocha
Challenger Seville · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
02/09 Zizou Bergs
US Open · Hard
1-3 13-21 L
11/08 Olle Wallin
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
07/08 Elmer Moller
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
06/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
04/08 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
28/07 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/01 Lorenzo Sonego
Australian Open · Hard
0-3 7-18 L
11/01 Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Adelaide · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/11 Ivan Gakhov
Challenger Montemar · Clay
1-2 13-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos Taberner?

Our model gives 51% to Carlos Taberner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.