Tennis · Challenger Biella · 15/09, 14:30
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Stefano Napolitano
Team pages: Alex Marti Pujolras · Stefano Napolitano
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Marti Pujolras
Stefano Napolitano
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras
7-3 (W-L)
Stefano Napolitano
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1561 · Stefano Napolitano 1457
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Stefano Napolitano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Marti Pujolras (rating 1561 vs 1457).
- Alex Marti Pujolras is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Stefano Napolitano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.8 | 11.3-13.3 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 60% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Oleg Covian Roca de Togores Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Stefano Napolitano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Edward Winter Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Stefano Napolitano?
Our model gives 52% to Stefano Napolitano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.