Tennis · Challenger Biella · 15/09, 11:30
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Enrico Dalla Valle
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Enrico Dalla Valle
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
9-1 (W-L)
Enrico Dalla Valle
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1588 · Enrico Dalla Valle 1532
| Pavel Lagutin | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1588 vs 1532).
- Pavel Lagutin is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-7.5 | 12.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Matthieu Roehrich Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Tiago Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Enrico Dalla Valle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Niels McDonald Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Mattia Logrippo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Enrico Dalla Valle?
Our model gives 52% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.