Tennis · M25 Sintra · 14/09, 17:00
Prediction: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Diogo Morais
Team pages: Tomas Curras Abasolo · Diogo Morais
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Diogo Morais
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Curras Abasolo
2-8 (W-L)
Diogo Morais
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Curras Abasolo 1382 · Diogo Morais 1486
| Tomas Curras Abasolo | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diogo Morais (rating 1382 vs 1486).
- Diogo Morais is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tomas Curras Abasolo | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-12 | 10.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 38% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Santander |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Julian Alonso M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Vic |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Diogo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Florian Broska M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/05 | Fausto Tabacco UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Diogo Morais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Yazid Lahjomri M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Romesh Kahatapitiya M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Francisco Guimaraes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Francisco Faria M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Diogo Morais?
Our model gives 51% to Diogo Morais, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.