Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 14/09, 20:10
Prediction: Ryan Seggerman vs Alex Rybakov
Team pages: Ryan Seggerman · Alex Rybakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Seggerman
Alex Rybakov
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Seggerman
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Rybakov
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Seggerman 1493 · Alex Rybakov 1522
| Ryan Seggerman | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ryan Seggerman makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Seggerman | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.6 | 12.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 12.7 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Seggerman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Ali Habib Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/05 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alex Rybakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Dan Martin Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Billy Blaydes M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Matthew Summers M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Charlie Robertson M25 Aldershot |
1-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Seggerman vs Alex Rybakov?
Our model gives 50% to Ryan Seggerman, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.