Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 14/09, 14:00
Prediction: Justin Boulais vs Matisse Bobichon
Team pages: Justin Boulais · Matisse Bobichon
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Boulais
Matisse Bobichon
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Boulais
6-4 (W-L)
Matisse Bobichon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Justin Boulais
0–1
Matisse Bobichon
(1 last)
- 07 Sept1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Boulais 1488 · Matisse Bobichon 1529
| Justin Boulais | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matisse Bobichon (rating 1488 vs 1529).
- Head-to-head: Justin Boulais 0–1 Matisse Bobichon (1).
- Note: Justin Boulais makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Justin Boulais | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11 | 12.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Justin Boulais 0 – 1 Matisse Bobichon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Justin Boulais 0–1 Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/26 Challenger Cassis | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Boulais
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Theo Arribage Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Matis Roche Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Matisse Bobichon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Alex Kobelt Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Nicolas Tepmahc M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Jovanovski M15 Brisbane |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 17/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Scott Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Boulais vs Matisse Bobichon?
Our model gives 52% to Justin Boulais, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.