Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek
Team pages: Alycia Parks · Sara Bejlek
Prediction summary
Winner
Alycia Parks
Sara Bejlek
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alycia Parks
2-8 (W-L)
Sara Bejlek
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alycia Parks
0–2
Sara Bejlek
(2 last)
- 23 Jul0-2 9-13L
- 11 Jan1-2 13-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alycia Parks 1473 · Sara Bejlek 1528
| Alycia Parks | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sara Bejlek (rating 1473 vs 1528).
- Alycia Parks dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 47.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alycia Parks 0–2 Sara Bejlek (2).
- Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (8/match).
Statistics
| Alycia Parks | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.2 | 11.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Alycia Parks 0 – 2 Sara Bejlek (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alycia Parks 0–2 Sara Bejlek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/25 WTA Prague | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/01/23 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alycia Parks
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Taylah Preston US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ann Li WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Petra Marcinko WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek?
Our model gives 69% to Sara Bejlek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.