Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 14/09, 23:00
Prediction: Magdalena Frech vs Nao Hibino
Team pages: Magdalena Frech · Nao Hibino
Prediction summary
Winner
Magdalena Frech
Nao Hibino
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Magdalena Frech
6-4 (W-L)
Nao Hibino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Magdalena Frech
1–1
Nao Hibino
(2 last)
- 11 Jun2-0 12-5W
- 20 Mar0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magdalena Frech 1487 · Nao Hibino 1542
| Magdalena Frech | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nao Hibino (rating 1487 vs 1542).
Statistics
| Magdalena Frech | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.7 | 11-8.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Magdalena Frech 1 – 1 Nao Hibino (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magdalena Frech 1–1 Nao Hibino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/24 WTA Nottingham | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/03/23 WTA Miami | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magdalena Frech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Ann Li WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Nao Hibino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Nadiia Kichenok WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Sofiia Bielinska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Anna Siskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Janae Preston US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Teah Chavez WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magdalena Frech vs Nao Hibino?
Our model gives 59% to Magdalena Frech, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.