Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 14/09, 19:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
5-5 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ozan Baris
1–0
Evan Zhu
(1 last)
- 23 Feb2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1545 · Evan Zhu 1563
| Ozan Baris | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ozan Baris 1–0 Evan Zhu (1).
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.7 | 11.4-7.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 69% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Ozan Baris 1 – 0 Evan Zhu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ozan Baris 1–0 Evan Zhu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/22 M15 Naples | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Liam Broady Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Oliver Bonding M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Evan Zhu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Tauheed Browning Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Timo Legout M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 59% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.