Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 14/09, 19:00
Prediction: Carole Monnet vs Sloane Stephens
Team pages: Carole Monnet · Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Carole Monnet
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Carole Monnet
4-6 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carole Monnet 1509 · Sloane Stephens 1503
| Carole Monnet | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Carole Monnet makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Carole Monnet | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.3 | 10-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 62% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carole Monnet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 12/09 | Julia Garcia Ruiz WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Tatiana Prozorova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Clara Tauson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Sinja Kraus WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Solana Sierra WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carole Monnet vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 64% to Sloane Stephens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.