Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns
Team pages: Diane Parry · Peyton Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Diane Parry
Peyton Stearns
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Diane Parry
5-5 (W-L)
Peyton Stearns
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diane Parry 1585 · Peyton Stearns 1496
| Diane Parry | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diane Parry (rating 1585 vs 1496).
- Diane Parry is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Diane Parry makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Peyton Stearns makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Diane Parry | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11 | 11.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diane Parry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Viktorija Golubic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Ann Li WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Donna Vekic WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Peyton Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Emiliana Arango WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns?
Our model gives 58% to Diane Parry, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.