Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 14/09, 19:00
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian
Team pages: Spencer Johnson · Erik Arutiunian
Prediction summary
Winner
Spencer Johnson
Erik Arutiunian
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Spencer Johnson
6-4 (W-L)
Erik Arutiunian
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1533 · Erik Arutiunian 1528
| Spencer Johnson | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 42.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.4 | 10-9.5 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Vignesh Gogineni Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Ryan Colby Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Nicholas Godsick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian?
Our model gives 66% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.