Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 14/09, 12:30
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Matyas Cerny
Team pages: Johan Nikles · Matyas Cerny
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Matyas Cerny
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
6-4 (W-L)
Matyas Cerny
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1545 · Matyas Cerny 1497
| Johan Nikles | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johan Nikles (rating 1545 vs 1497).
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.7 | 10.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Florent Lagarrigue M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Karol Filar M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Milosz Sroka M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 17/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Matyas Cerny?
Our model gives 56% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.