Tennis · WTA Ljubljana · 14/09, 13:00
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Samira De Stefano
Team pages: Arantxa Rus · Samira De Stefano
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Samira De Stefano
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
4-6 (W-L)
Samira De Stefano
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1528 · Samira De Stefano 1589
| Arantxa Rus | Samira De Stefano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samira De Stefano (rating 1528 vs 1589).
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Samira De Stefano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.2 | 11.3-6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Leolia Jeanjean US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Teodora Kostovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Britt Du Pree W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Anna Kubareva W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Samira De Stefano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/09 | Adrienn Nagy WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Anja Stankovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Lea Boskovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Ekaterina Perelygina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Natalija Senic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Miriam Bulgaru W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Samira De Stefano?
Our model gives 57% to Samira De Stefano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.