Tennis · WTA Ljubljana · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Aurora Zantedeschi
Team pages: Lucie Havlickova · Aurora Zantedeschi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Aurora Zantedeschi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
6-4 (W-L)
Aurora Zantedeschi
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Havlickova
0–1
Aurora Zantedeschi
(1 last)
- 04 Apr1-2 15-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1553 · Aurora Zantedeschi 1501
| Lucie Havlickova | Aurora Zantedeschi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucie Havlickova (rating 1553 vs 1501).
- Head-to-head: Lucie Havlickova 0–1 Aurora Zantedeschi (1).
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Aurora Zantedeschi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.2 | 10.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 57% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Lucie Havlickova 0 – 1 Aurora Zantedeschi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Havlickova 0–1 Aurora Zantedeschi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/24 W35 Santa Margherita | 1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Anna Bondar US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Nao Hibino US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Elizara Yaneva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Aurora Zantedeschi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Sofya Lansere WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Amandine Monnot W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Ida Wobker W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Aurora Zantedeschi?
Our model gives 59% to Lucie Havlickova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.