Tennis · WTA Ljubljana · 14/09, 11:30
Prediction: Polona Hercog vs Julie Struplova
Team pages: Polona Hercog · Julie Struplova
Prediction summary
Winner
Polona Hercog
Julie Struplova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Polona Hercog
5-5 (W-L)
Julie Struplova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polona Hercog
1–0
Julie Struplova
(1 last)
- 15 Feb2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polona Hercog 1517 · Julie Struplova 1484
| Polona Hercog | Julie Struplova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Polona Hercog 1–0 Julie Struplova (1).
- Note: Julie Struplova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Polona Hercog | Julie Struplova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.6 | 9.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Polona Hercog 1 – 0 Julie Struplova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polona Hercog 1–0 Julie Struplova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/24 W35 Antalya | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polona Hercog
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Lucrezia Stefanini W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/05 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Miriana Tona W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Lucia Natal W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Julie Struplova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alice Rame WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Radka Zelnickova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Carolina Kuhl W75 Olomouc |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Julie Pastikova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Jana Otzipka W75 Olomouc |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polona Hercog vs Julie Struplova?
Our model gives 57% to Polona Hercog, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.