Tennis · WTA Ljubljana · 15/09, 11:00
Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Alja Senica
Team pages: Francesca Jones · Alja Senica
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Jones
Alja Senica
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones
8-2 (W-L)
Alja Senica
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1605 · Alja Senica 1572
| Francesca Jones | Alja Senica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Alja Senica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.3 | 12.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 57% | 70.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Magda Linette US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Mona Barthel US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Nuria Brancaccio US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Alice Rame WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 13-6 | W |
Alja Senica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Melinda Biro W15 Pecs |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Klara Blazkova W15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Maria Andrienko W15 Pecs |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 02/08 | Sara Mikaca W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Stefania Bojica W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Ela Plosnik W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Vicky Van De Peer W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Alja Senica?
Our model gives 74% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.