Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 14/09, 13:00
Prediction: Filip Pieczonka vs Nikita Mashtakov
Team pages: Filip Pieczonka · Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Pieczonka
Nikita Mashtakov
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Pieczonka
6-4 (W-L)
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Pieczonka 1530 · Nikita Mashtakov 1560
| Filip Pieczonka | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Filip Pieczonka makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Filip Pieczonka | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.3 | 13.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Pieczonka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/08 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alan Wazny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Felix Gill Challenger Murcia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/03 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Murcia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 15/03 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Murcia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Zeuch M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Pieczonka vs Nikita Mashtakov?
Our model gives 52% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.