Tennis · Challenger Biella · 14/09, 11:30

Prediction: Giovanni Oradini vs Pierluigi Basile

Team pages: Giovanni Oradini · Pierluigi Basile

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Giovanni Oradini Pierluigi Basile
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Oradini 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLLL
Pierluigi Basile 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Giovanni Oradini 1–0 Pierluigi Basile (1 last)
  • 19 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giovanni Oradini 1516 · Pierluigi Basile 1587
Giovanni OradiniPierluigi Basile
Our model40%60%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierluigi Basile (rating 1516 vs 1587).
  • Head-to-head: Giovanni Oradini 1–0 Pierluigi Basile (1).

Statistics

Giovanni OradiniPierluigi Basile
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.7-0.7
Games (G-P)11.5-8.713.4-9
Aces4.53
Double faults23.2
1st serve %71.9%73.7%
Break %51.7%48.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

H2H · Giovanni Oradini 10 Pierluigi Basile (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Giovanni Oradini 10 Pierluigi Basile

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DateSetsGamesRes.
19/06/24
ITF M25 Cattolica
2-012-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giovanni Oradini

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-1 19-14 W
06/09 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
02/09 Marcello Serafini
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
29/08 Andrej Martin
M15 Vienna
1-2 12-14 L
28/08 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Vienna
2-0 13-8 W
27/08 Alexander Wagner
M15 Vienna
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Patrick Jozwicki
M15 Vienna
2-0 12-2 W
22/08 Alexander Weis
M25 Lesa
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Federico Bove
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-4 W

Pierluigi Basile

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Adrian Oetzbach
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
09/09 Roberto Perez Socas
M25 Gijon
1-2 18-17 L
08/09 David Aguiar Johansson
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Filippo Valdetara
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Lesa
1-2 9-15 L
23/08 Alexander Weis
M25 Lesa
2-1 18-12 W
22/08 Nico Hipfl
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-7 W
22/08 Lorenzo Comino
M25 Lesa
2-0 13-7 W
18/08 Lorenzo Beraldo
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-4 W
10/08 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Todi · Clay
1-2 15-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giovanni Oradini vs Pierluigi Basile?

Our model gives 63% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.