Tennis · Challenger Biella · 14/09, 10:00
Prediction: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Gianmarco Ferrari
Team pages: Izan Almazan Valiente · Gianmarco Ferrari
Prediction summary
Winner
Izan Almazan Valiente
Gianmarco Ferrari
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Izan Almazan Valiente
6-4 (W-L)
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Izan Almazan Valiente 1524 · Gianmarco Ferrari 1537
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Izan Almazan Valiente makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12 | 10.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Matteo Covato Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Diogo Morais M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Gianmarco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Cesare Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Francesco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Izan Almazan Valiente vs Gianmarco Ferrari?
Our model gives 50% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.