Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 15/09, 17:00
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Daniel Elahi Galan
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Daniel Elahi Galan
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Daniel Elahi Galan
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
8-2 (W-L)
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Facundo Diaz Acosta
2–0
Daniel Elahi Galan
(2 last)
- 17 Sept2-0 12-6W
- 24 Jul2-1 16-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1658 · Daniel Elahi Galan 1504
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1658 vs 1504).
- Facundo Diaz Acosta is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Facundo Diaz Acosta 2–0 Daniel Elahi Galan (2).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-9.4 | 12.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Facundo Diaz Acosta 2 – 0 Daniel Elahi Galan (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Facundo Diaz Acosta 2–0 Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/25 Challenger Bad Waltersdorf | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07/24 ATP Kitzbuhel | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 02/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/07 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Daniel Elahi Galan?
Our model gives 75% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.