Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: Jeffrey John Wolf vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Team pages: Jeffrey John Wolf · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeffrey John Wolf
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jeffrey John Wolf
6-4 (W-L)
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeffrey John Wolf 1552 · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1470
| Jeffrey John Wolf | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeffrey John Wolf (rating 1552 vs 1470).
- Jeffrey John Wolf dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Jeffrey John Wolf is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jeffrey John Wolf | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12.6 | 8.3-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeffrey John Wolf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Alexander Bublik US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 13-21 | L |
| 14/08 | James Duckworth ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Vojtech Mares Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeffrey John Wolf vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Our model gives 78% to Jeffrey John Wolf, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.