Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Edward Winter
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Edward Winter
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Edward Winter
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
4-6 (W-L)
Edward Winter
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1469 · Edward Winter 1534
| Tristan Boyer | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edward Winter (rating 1469 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-13.4 | 11-8.2 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
Edward Winter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | John Chin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Steven Christie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Dominick Mosejczuk Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Edward Winter?
Our model gives 54% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.