Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov
Team pages: Darwin Blanch · Stefan Kozlov
Prediction summary
Winner
Darwin Blanch
Stefan Kozlov
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Darwin Blanch
1-9 (W-L)
Stefan Kozlov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Darwin Blanch
0–1
Stefan Kozlov
(1 last)
- 15 Nov1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darwin Blanch 1394 · Stefan Kozlov 1474
| Darwin Blanch | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Kozlov (rating 1394 vs 1474).
- Head-to-head: Darwin Blanch 0–1 Stefan Kozlov (1).
Statistics
| Darwin Blanch | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (7) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.9 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-14.1 | 12.1-12.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 21.4% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Darwin Blanch 0 – 1 Stefan Kozlov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Darwin Blanch 0–1 Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/25 Challenger Champaign | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darwin Blanch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov?
Our model gives 53% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.