Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smith
Team pages: Mitchell Krueger · Keegan Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitchell Krueger
Keegan Smith
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mitchell Krueger
5-5 (W-L)
Keegan Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mitchell Krueger
0–1
Keegan Smith
(1 last)
- 12 Sept0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchell Krueger 1452 · Keegan Smith 1482
| Mitchell Krueger | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mitchell Krueger 0–1 Keegan Smith (1).
Statistics
| Mitchell Krueger | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.2 | 11.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 37% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Mitchell Krueger 0 – 1 Keegan Smith (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitchell Krueger 0–1 Keegan Smith
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/22 Challenger Cary | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 7-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Mitric M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Keegan Smith
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 22/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smith?
Our model gives 59% to Keegan Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.