Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 13/09, 20:30
Prediction: Lilian Poling vs Ingrid C Millan
Team pages: Lilian Poling · Ingrid C Millan
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilian Poling
Ingrid C Millan
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lilian Poling
7-3 (W-L)
Ingrid C Millan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilian Poling 1573 · Ingrid C Millan 1469
| Lilian Poling | Ingrid C Millan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilian Poling (rating 1573 vs 1469).
- Lilian Poling is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ingrid C Millan makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Lilian Poling | Ingrid C Millan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.6 | 9.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 50.2% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilian Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Monika Ekstrand UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Pepper Rickert UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Lyric Bonilla UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Ingrid C Millan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lily Pradkin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Emery Combs W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jasmine Conway W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/04 | Emma Jackson W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 14/04 | Elizabeth Coleman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilian Poling vs Ingrid C Millan?
Our model gives 69% to Lilian Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.