Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 13/09, 19:00
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Vignesh Gogineni
Team pages: Spencer Johnson · Vignesh Gogineni
Prediction summary
Winner
Spencer Johnson
Vignesh Gogineni
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Spencer Johnson
6-4 (W-L)
Vignesh Gogineni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1532 · Vignesh Gogineni 1578
| Spencer Johnson | Vignesh Gogineni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vignesh Gogineni (rating 1532 vs 1578).
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 42.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Vignesh Gogineni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.4 | 10.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Ryan Colby Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Vignesh Gogineni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Otto Virtanen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Karim Bennani M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Ilija Palavestra M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Justin Roberts M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Stiles Brockett M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Tristan Stringer M25 Louisville |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Vignesh Gogineni?
Our model gives 57% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.