Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 13/09, 19:00
Prediction: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Li Tu
Team pages: Roger Pascual Ferra · Li Tu
Prediction summary
Winner
Roger Pascual Ferra
Li Tu
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Roger Pascual Ferra
6-4 (W-L)
Li Tu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roger Pascual Ferra 1491 · Li Tu 1487
| Roger Pascual Ferra | Li Tu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Roger Pascual Ferra | Li Tu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.1 | 10.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roger Pascual Ferra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Colton Smith ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Li Tu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/04 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/04 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/04 | Blake Ellis Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04 | Keegan Smith Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 15/04 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/04 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roger Pascual Ferra vs Li Tu?
Our model gives 52% to Li Tu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.