Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 13/09, 20:30
Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Noah Zamora
Team pages: Quinn Vandecasteele · Noah Zamora
Prediction summary
Winner
Quinn Vandecasteele
Noah Zamora
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Quinn Vandecasteele
7-3 (W-L)
Noah Zamora
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinn Vandecasteele 1544 · Noah Zamora 1492
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quinn Vandecasteele (rating 1544 vs 1492).
- Note: Quinn Vandecasteele makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.5 | 12.8-13.1 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 22/08 | Li Tu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Noah Zamora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 12/08 | James McCabe M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Darian King Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Spencer Johnson M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Rudy Quan M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs Noah Zamora?
Our model gives 62% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.