Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 13/09, 20:30
Prediction: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
5-5 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski 1523 · Evan Zhu 1567
| Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1523 vs 1567).
- Note: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.6 | 11.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Niklas Guttau M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Hugo Pawel Rytelewski M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Gentofte |
1-1 | 10-5 | W |
| 05/07 | David Tixhon Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Tauheed Browning Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Timo Legout M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 65% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.