Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 13/09, 20:30
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Lorenzo Claverie
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Lorenzo Claverie
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Lorenzo Claverie
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Claverie
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1542 · Lorenzo Claverie 1461
| Ozan Baris | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1542 vs 1461).
- Note: Lorenzo Claverie makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.8 | 13-13.5 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 14.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 26.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Liam Broady Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Oliver Bonding M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lorenzo Claverie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/07 | Tristan Boyer ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Nick Hardt Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Lorenzo Claverie?
Our model gives 68% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.