Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 13/09, 23:30
Prediction: Andrew Fenty vs Ryan Seggerman
Team pages: Andrew Fenty · Ryan Seggerman
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Fenty
Ryan Seggerman
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Fenty
6-4 (W-L)
Ryan Seggerman
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Fenty 1551 · Ryan Seggerman 1464
| Andrew Fenty | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrew Fenty (rating 1551 vs 1464).
- Andrew Fenty is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ryan Seggerman makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Andrew Fenty | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.8 | 11.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 5 | 10.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 31.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Fenty
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Evan King Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Eli Dieveney Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ryan Seggerman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Ali Habib Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/05 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Fenty vs Ryan Seggerman?
Our model gives 59% to Andrew Fenty, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.