Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 15/09, 10:00

Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Titouan Droguet

Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Titouan Droguet

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Michele Ribecai Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLWLLLW
Titouan Droguet 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1525 · Titouan Droguet 1569
Michele RibecaiTitouan Droguet
Our model44%56%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Titouan Droguet (rating 1525 vs 1569).
  • Titouan Droguet dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 52.9% break avg.

Statistics

Michele RibecaiTitouan Droguet
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.7-0.8
Games (G-P)11.4-1013.7-10.8
Aces2.27.9
Double faults3.83.1
1st serve %60.3%73.9%
Break %47.3%52.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michele Ribecai

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Jay Friend
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
03/09 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
02/09 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
28/08 George Loffhagen
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Johannus Monday
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/08 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
24/08 Mark Ceban
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
07/08 Andrea Guerrieri
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
05/08 Tomasz Berkieta
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/08 Iliyan Radulov
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Titouan Droguet

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/09 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
11/09 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
09/09 Gijs Brouwer
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
07/09 Maxime Chazal
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
24/08 Daniel Rincon
US Open · Hard
1-2 16-15 L
14/08 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
13/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/08 Alexei Popyrin
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
07/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
06/08 Jaime Faria
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Titouan Droguet?

Our model gives 71% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.