Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 15/09, 10:00

Prediction: David Jorda Sanchis vs Lucas Poullain

Team pages: David Jorda Sanchis · Lucas Poullain

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
David Jorda Sanchis Lucas Poullain
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
David Jorda Sanchis 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWLL
Lucas Poullain 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWLL
Head-to-head
David Jorda Sanchis 0–2 Lucas Poullain (2 last)
  • 21 Sept0-2 10-13L
  • 10 Jun0-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · David Jorda Sanchis 1421 · Lucas Poullain 1586
David Jorda SanchisLucas Poullain
Our model28%72%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Poullain (rating 1421 vs 1586).
  • Lucas Poullain is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: David Jorda Sanchis 0–2 Lucas Poullain (2).
  • Note: David Jorda Sanchis makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

David Jorda SanchisLucas Poullain
Win %20%80%
Win % · Hard 20% (5) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71.6-0.7
Games (G-P)9.9-13.212.8-9.1
Aces4.93
Double faults4.11.2
1st serve %69.7%65.8%
Break %39%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

H2H · David Jorda Sanchis 02 Lucas Poullain (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · David Jorda Sanchis 02 Lucas Poullain

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DateSetsGamesRes.
21/09/25
Challenger Orleans
0-210-13L
10/06/24
Challenger Lyon
0-211-14L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

David Jorda Sanchis

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Luca Potenza
Challenger Manacor · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
26/08 Dusan Lajovic
US Open · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
25/08 Henri Squire
US Open · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
18/08 Alan Magadan
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
11/08 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
18/07 Pedro Martinez
ATP Estoril · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/07 Max Houkes
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
02/07 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 10-17 L
30/06 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Lucas Poullain

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Moez Echargui
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Oliver Tarvet
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
21/08 Lui Maxted
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/08 Michael Geerts
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 19-15 W
19/08 Viktor Durasovic
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
17/08 Max Basing
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/08 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
08/08 Gijs Brouwer
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
07/08 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
06/08 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in David Jorda Sanchis vs Lucas Poullain?

Our model gives 67% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.