Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: David Jorda Sanchis vs Lucas Poullain
Team pages: David Jorda Sanchis · Lucas Poullain
Prediction summary
Winner
David Jorda Sanchis
Lucas Poullain
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
David Jorda Sanchis
2-8 (W-L)
Lucas Poullain
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
David Jorda Sanchis
0–2
Lucas Poullain
(2 last)
- 21 Sept0-2 10-13L
- 10 Jun0-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Jorda Sanchis 1421 · Lucas Poullain 1586
| David Jorda Sanchis | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Poullain (rating 1421 vs 1586).
- Lucas Poullain is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: David Jorda Sanchis 0–2 Lucas Poullain (2).
- Note: David Jorda Sanchis makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| David Jorda Sanchis | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-13.2 | 12.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 39% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · David Jorda Sanchis 0 – 2 Lucas Poullain (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · David Jorda Sanchis 0–2 Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Challenger Orleans | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06/24 Challenger Lyon | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Jorda Sanchis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Henri Squire US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Lucas Poullain
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Jorda Sanchis vs Lucas Poullain?
Our model gives 67% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

