Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Murphy Cassone · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Murphy Cassone
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Murphy Cassone
5-5 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murphy Cassone 1516 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1565
| Murphy Cassone | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inaki Montes-De La Torre (rating 1516 vs 1565).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Murphy Cassone | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12.4 | 12.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murphy Cassone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Filippo Romano ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 03/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 56% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.