Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marek Gengel vs Tristan Schoolkate
Team pages: Marek Gengel · Tristan Schoolkate
Prediction summary
Winner
Marek Gengel
Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marek Gengel
6-4 (W-L)
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marek Gengel
0–1
Tristan Schoolkate
(1 last)
- 02 Feb0-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marek Gengel 1481 · Tristan Schoolkate 1547
| Marek Gengel | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Schoolkate (rating 1481 vs 1547).
- Head-to-head: Marek Gengel 0–1 Tristan Schoolkate (1).
Statistics
| Marek Gengel | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.8-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.5 | 15.2-14 |
| Aces | 3 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Marek Gengel 0 – 1 Tristan Schoolkate (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marek Gengel 0–1 Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/25 Challenger Brisbane | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marek Gengel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Jeremy Schifris M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Karl Poling M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Vadym Ursu M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 01/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Jack Secord US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marek Gengel vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Our model gives 68% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.