Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 15/09, 10:00

Prediction: Mickael Kaouk vs Anton Matusevich

Team pages: Mickael Kaouk · Anton Matusevich

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Mickael Kaouk Anton Matusevich
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mickael Kaouk 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLWWL
Anton Matusevich 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Mickael Kaouk 0–1 Anton Matusevich (1 last)
  • 04 Mar1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mickael Kaouk 1518 · Anton Matusevich 1564
Mickael KaoukAnton Matusevich
Our model43%57%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Matusevich (rating 1518 vs 1564).
  • Head-to-head: Mickael Kaouk 0–1 Anton Matusevich (1).
  • Note: Mickael Kaouk makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Mickael KaoukAnton Matusevich
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.6-0.8
Games (G-P)11.2-9.912.5-10.4
Aces0.84.4
Double faults4.12.4
1st serve %66.1%74.8%
Break %55.6%63.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

H2H · Mickael Kaouk 01 Anton Matusevich (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mickael Kaouk 01 Anton Matusevich

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DateSetsGamesRes.
04/03/26
M15 Poitiers
1-211-15L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mickael Kaouk

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Patrick Zahraj
M25 Plaisir
0-2 6-12 L
10/09 Nicolas Ifi
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-6 W
08/09 Matt Ponchet
M25 Plaisir
2-0 13-10 W
14/08 Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde
0-2 8-13 L
12/08 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Koksijde
2-0 12-7 W
11/08 Justas Trainauskas
M25 Koksijde
2-0 12-2 W
01/07 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Dali Blanch
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-1 17-17 W
20/06 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
18/06 Arthur Bonnaud
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Anton Matusevich

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
25/08 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
21/08 Oliver Tarvet
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 10-14 L
20/08 Mark Ceban
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Elmer Moller
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 Yuta Shimizu
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/08 Oliver Tarvet
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/08 Emile Hudd
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
06/08 Sebastian Dominko
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
05/08 Conor Gannon
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mickael Kaouk vs Anton Matusevich?

Our model gives 60% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.