Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Adrian Mannarino vs Dan Added
Team pages: Adrian Mannarino · Dan Added
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Mannarino
Dan Added
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Mannarino
2-8 (W-L)
Dan Added
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Mannarino 1444 · Dan Added 1510
| Adrian Mannarino | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dan Added (rating 1444 vs 1510).
- Dan Added is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adrian Mannarino | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.1-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.6 | 9.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Mannarino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Alexander Bublik US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-21 | W |
| 26/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Learner Tien ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | John Echeverria M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Philippe Renard M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Etienne Donnet M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Jerome Kym US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Mannarino vs Dan Added?
Our model gives 63% to Adrian Mannarino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.