Tennis · Challenger Biella · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Maxime Chazal
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Maxime Chazal
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Maxime Chazal
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
4-6 (W-L)
Maxime Chazal
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1525 · Maxime Chazal 1585
| Alex Barrena | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Chazal (rating 1525 vs 1585).
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11 | 12.2-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Branger M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Malis M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | David Fix M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Maxime Chazal?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.