Tennis · Challenger Biella · 13/09, 11:30
Prediction: Federico Iannaccone vs Luca Wiedenmann
Team pages: Federico Iannaccone · Luca Wiedenmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Iannaccone
Luca Wiedenmann
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Iannaccone
4-6 (W-L)
Luca Wiedenmann
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Iannaccone 1529 · Luca Wiedenmann 1482
| Federico Iannaccone | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Iannaccone (rating 1529 vs 1482).
Statistics
| Federico Iannaccone | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.8 | 10.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 62.8% | 33.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Iannaccone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexander Weis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Peter Fajta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Caheer Warik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Sander Jong M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Sebastian Heinrich M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Timeo Gaillard Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaron Held M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Iannaccone vs Luca Wiedenmann?
Our model gives 59% to Federico Iannaccone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.