Tennis · Challenger Biella · 13/09, 10:00
Prediction: Giuseppe La Vela vs Stefano D'Agostino
Team pages: Giuseppe La Vela · Stefano D'Agostino
Prediction summary
Winner
Giuseppe La Vela
Stefano D'Agostino
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Giuseppe La Vela
6-4 (W-L)
Stefano D'Agostino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giuseppe La Vela 1490 · Stefano D'Agostino 1541
| Giuseppe La Vela | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefano D'Agostino (rating 1490 vs 1541).
- Note: Stefano D'Agostino makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Giuseppe La Vela | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.5 | 11.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giuseppe La Vela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Alessio Vigoriti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Nik Mikovic M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Henry Best M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Stefano D'Agostino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Richard Lacis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Marko Nikolic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Manuel Mazza M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giuseppe La Vela vs Stefano D'Agostino?
Our model gives 51% to Giuseppe La Vela, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.