Tennis · Challenger Biella · 13/09, 11:30
Prediction: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Matteo Covato
Team pages: Izan Almazan Valiente · Matteo Covato
Prediction summary
Winner
Izan Almazan Valiente
Matteo Covato
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Izan Almazan Valiente
6-4 (W-L)
Matteo Covato
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Izan Almazan Valiente 1501 · Matteo Covato 1359
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Matteo Covato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1501 vs 1359).
- Izan Almazan Valiente is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Izan Almazan Valiente makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Matteo Covato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.3-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.4 | 7.8-13.2 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 29.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Diogo Morais M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Matteo Covato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Denis Yevseyev M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Adrien Berrut M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oliver Sanders M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Izan Almazan Valiente vs Matteo Covato?
Our model gives 78% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.